Friday, August 26, 2016

A blueprint for creating Smart Cities

Before we talk about 'Smart Cities', let us first understand what makes cities so special. Why are cities the engine of modern growth? Why is it that even though the world has changed so much, the ranking of different cities has largely remained the same, for hundreds of years, for any nation or region? While there are several reasons for the same, the biggest reason is the basic economics of Demand & Supply and the formation of a "virtuous cycles". Due to higher purchasing power of people in cities, as compared to their surroundings, the demand for goods & services is higher, leading to corresponding higher supply. The higher supply of goods & services are largely met either within the city or its immediate neighbourhood (the Power of Proximity rule). This virtuous cycle results in higher job creation leading to migrations from rural areas to cities. Increasing wealth in the hands of a large percentage of diverse population, leads to higher revenues with the local government which in turn leads to higher investments in non-excludable common goods (such as infrastructure), better law & order and an inclusive political system. In this way, several virtuous cycles are created in a city. Moreover the bigger the city, the stronger and larger are the virtuous cycles. The city ecosystem is so strong that it is able to withstand dictatorships, wars, famines, technological changes, economic changes etc. by continuously evolving and adapting. 
'Smart Cities' is the latest buzzword in India, ever since the formation of NDA government and the promise of 100 smart cities. However the basic idea of the State being actively involved in fast-tracking the natural evolution of brown-field cities or creation of new green-field cities, is very old and popular. Various kings/queens in the past have tried to create new capitals/cities, with mixed results. In India, Fatehpur Sikri and Daulatabad are the prime examples of spectacular failures, even after huge investments by the State. Jawaharlal Nehru wanted to create scores of modern planned cities, unfettered by the past. Chandigarh is the prime example of Nehru's vision. Various communists/soviet governments in the last century spent huge resources in trying to create green-field cities. However creating a city ecosystem from scratch, with multiple virtuous cycles, is extremely difficult. The number of failures have been far more than the number of success stories.
There is no standard definition of a "Smart City". Broadly the smart city solutions across the world, have focused on the following domains - Infrastructure, e-Governance, Transport, Basic Amenities, Security, Waste Management, Healthcare, Education etc. Most experts agree that creating a Smart City is more like a journey rather than an end goal. I am not going to try to create my own definition of Smart City or create a new framework for understanding/analyzing it. There are enough research papers and articles on it.  However I would like to point out one important and key difference between the modern concept of Smart City and earlier attempts (mentioned above) of creating planned brown-field or green-field cities. The key difference is the role of digital technologies, digital infrastructure & related concepts such as Big Data, Internet of Things, Predictive & Prescriptive Analytics etc. While the scope of 'Smart Cities' definitely includes a lot of other things, it is the digital infrastructure, digital technologies and using IT as an enabler to solve various problems, which makes its potential so huge. In this blog post, I will be focusing on these only.
For all the buzz surrounding 'Smart City' in the world, the success so far has been rather moderate for both brown-field and green-field cities. Though few people will doubt the huge potential of smart city initiatives, the on-ground implementations have not resulted in the expected efficiency, cost-reduction or usage. Citizen portals & mobile apps of city corporations for making complains, requests, bookings etc. are a good example. Their usage is less than 1% of the total population, even for the best cities in the world such as New York, London, Berlin etc. The apps/websites for public transport systems are only marginally better. Smart metering & billing solutions for electricity, water, gas etc., have been successfully implemented in several cities, but they have not had the expected change in user behaviour. Same is the case for smart initiatives in Education and Healthcare sectors, which have very low usage. Video analytics have been successful only in a few cities such as London. Same is the case for sensors, which generate a huge amount of data but their practical usage in decision making have been very low. Smart city solutions were supposed to bring high efficiency & savings, through strong feedback loops and help generate insights by combining learning from diverse systems. The most disappointing aspect of smart city initiatives so far, have been that different successful system have not able to talk to each other or learn from each other. 
Implementing smart city solutions requires active cooperation of multiple government departments and a central coordinating agency is required to be created for the task. Ministry of Urban Development, India is creating a special SPV (Special Purpose Vehicle) company for each city, to plan, align incentives, get initial buy-in from all agencies, appraise & release funds, implement, manage, operate, monitor and evaluate the Smart City development projects. Historical evidence suggest that it is very critical to make one IT vendor responsible for overall product management of the entire suit of smart city tools. This chosen smart city IT partner of SPV, must be responsible for handling project management and coordination with all the other companies and for developing customized middle layers. Without a capable smart city IT partner, investments in separate stand-alone systems/tools lead to either very poor integration or painful deadlocks & delays.
For any city, there are multiple levels of governments such as city-level (municipal), state-level and federal/national level. Their jurisdictions are separate, their budgets are separate and they are independent of each other. Many times they are controlled by rival political forces. In such a case, it is quite natural that there is lack of cooperation & planning between them. In citizen's mind through, "the government" remains one entity. Having multiple independent and unrelated customer counters, websites, portals, apps, customer care numbers, collection centres and other citizen touch points, results in low awareness, low usage, high cost and high dissatisfaction with each of them. The high level design principle for any smart city, must be to try and have, as far as possible, uniform & integrated citizen facing front-end system(s) - single window/counter for all city issues, single city website, unified mobile app with sub-apps for different services, unified smart city card etc.
The same design principle must be applied for creating front-end system(s) for all the different departments (such as urban development, environment, transport, water, medical, power/electricity, PWD, education, police, public grievance, resident welfare societies, etc.). Government departments are independent of each other and they do not want to deal with multiple tools or any additional processes or IT settings which are not directly related to their narrow scope of work. Hence there needs to be a consolidated and integrated home page, with links to all relevant tools, especially customized for each department. Creating a single login across all tools on the main home page for a department, is highly desirable but not always possible. All the IT complexities between the customer facing systems and the department facing systems need to be taken care by different smart city solutions, customized software and smart process engineering. Department hierarchies, functions, jurisdictions, rules & regulations are different for each city. Hence off-the-shelf products do not work and a majority of smart city solutions need to be custom developed for most cities. Moreover even if off-the-shelf products are used, they can hardly ever be updated to their latest version over time, given the complexities of the overall system.
Making even a very small change in the standard processes of any large sized department is very challenging. This is especially true for government departments which have a huge legacy/old issues and are constantly under the scrutiny of Judiciary and auditing agencies. Moreover in case of smart cities, the change need to be driven by an outside agency which is even more challenging. It is far easier and cheaper to make changes in software suite, even if they have to be reversed later on, rather than make any change in the existing processes of any department. No smart city solution has the luxury of starting from a clean slate (not even for green-field cities or private cities). Hence proper change management is very essential. The key is to have only very small incremental changes and to make sure that all open and legacy issues of the old system are carried forward with each incremental change. Any solution which will not take care of all pending legacy issue of all impacted departments, at each incremental step, will fail miserably. The process changes must be small and frequent and must be very carefully planned and monitored. If there is more than 5-7 weeks gap in between any two incremental changes for a department, the compliance level to the latest change goes down drastically. It is very essential to keep re-enforcing the complete long term vision and how it will help all departments in the end, when implementing each incremental process change.
Given the dynamic nature and pace of innovation in the smart city domain, it is impossible to come up with a comprehensive list of all requirements at the beginning of the contract. While the citizen facing requirements don't change very frequently, the department specific requirements change very frequently (sometimes due to new regulations, judicial decisions, RTI requests etc.) and need to be fixed very quickly. Hence it is extremely crucial that the turnaround time, for new 'Change Requests' to vendors, is very low (approx. 3 days). The initial contract for all vendors need to be very carefully drafted. It has to be a mix of milestone based and effort based contract. The formula(s) for pricing future change requests must be defined in very unambiguous terms for each vendor.
The real benefit of smart cities tools and big data analytics comes when all the different smart city systems such as complain/request ticketing system, billing, collection, asset management, websites, mobile apps, call centers, CRM, sensors, command centre, video management systems, GIS, energy/water meter monitoring systems etc. are strongly inter-connected and use the same underlying data layer. The underlying data layer can be logically separated into two categories - entity-based (citizen database, department employee database etc.) and GIS-based (housing database, camera location database, electricity grid, water pipeline grid, road & sewer network etc.). The cost, both monetary and performance, of creating customized software to interconnect different systems is quite high, but very essential and unavoidable.
Data consistency is a far greater challenge for smart city solutions unlike any other software implementation. There are huge data errors (missing data, wrong data, formatting issues etc.) in all legacy stand-alone systems. Proper handling of all inconsistencies during one-time data transfers from legacy system is very challenging. Also for most of the smart city solutions, there is never a clean one-time transition from one system to another. Maintaining data consistency during long and multiple transition periods is important. Implementing smart city solutions will always involve multiple data clean-up exercises at different stages of implementation. Without advance manpower planning, periodic data-cleaning exercises will become a big bottleneck in implementing smart city solutions.
Citizens physically interact with government departments (municipal, state or central) only when they have a particular need such as paying electricity/water/gas bills, getting NOC certificates, registering a complain/request, booking government amenities, buying or renting a new apartment etc. All these touch-points should be used to add/update the same back-end city resident database, especially photographs. All forms, that are required to be filled by the customer, at each of these counters, must be pre-filled with the personal customer data, as available in the database. Pre-filling form and asking customer to correct any mistakes, is the most in-expensive way of database cleaning and pro-actively updating city database of changing mobile numbers, address, email-ids etc. One of the big advantages that Indian cities have over many other cities in the world, is the availability of Aadhaar database, which ensures that the duplication error is only possible for corner cases, where linking with Aadhaar is not possible.
A significant percentage of human dwellings in any city are either temporary or illegal or under ownership dispute. There is no unique number or identifier given to each human dwelling in a city, similar to Aadhaar numbers for every person in India. All legacy systems have a unique, non-standard and non-compatible way of storing addresses. However the address list in the electricity billing module for any city, is a very good substitute, which covers almost all human dwellings. Anything which is left can be clubbed under 'homeless' category. Electricity bill address database must become the address data layer for all smart city solutions. Data clean-up exercises need to be taken to make sure that address field in all other databases such as water billing, cooking gas connections, landline bills etc. are mapped to a unique smart city address as far as possible. The smart way of doing this is to make the residents do the change themselves when paying different bills online. The more difficult part is to save latitude and longitude for each address. This remains a manual door-to-door effort. 
Even though we can get a fairly accurate database of residents in a city and all addresses in a city, the mapping between the two is almost impossible to maintain, especially since a majority of population lives on rent under formal or informal agreements. Similarly mapping residents into distinct families is impossible to maintain. These mappings should not be a part of the basic data layer to be used in all smart city solutions, but should rather be left to each application which needs this information. Private cities where all apartment are sold by a single (or a few) companies, can maintain a much more accurate databases. Through proper planning of NOCs for resale & tenant registration process, they can track addresses of both owners and tenants. This does have a major advantage in creating customized applications for citizens on top of smart city software layer.
One of the most basic smart city solution is a ticketing tool for all non-emergency services in the city, such as complains, request, amenity booking, events registration etc. In many cities in USA, these are called 311 services. In India, most people prefer to physically go to government offices for their problems. They don't trust that registering complains through call center, official website or official mobile app, can get their problems solved. Complain counters in government offices or call centre have a very high operating cost and are highly inefficient in accurately recording the actual customer need for back-end fulfilment teams. Citizens are not good at typing the exact problem and hence they should be allowed to voice record their issue and subsequent comments on those tickets. To avoid the problem of tickets been marked resolved, without actually solving the issue, getting confirmation code from the ticket raiser, must be made compulsory for most cases. It is surprising that such simple common sense features are missing in most smart city solutions in the world. Of late there has been a growing tendency to use social media (especially twitter) to get the attention of governments. Modern smart city ticketing tools need to have plugins for popular social media sites as well. No citizen facing work that gets done by a department, should be allowed to by-pass the ticketing system, else the ticketing system cannot be used for measuring performance of departments resulting in a failed IT project.
Setting up and managing CCTV camera network is very costly, with very low returns on investment. As the number of cameras increase, it becomes virtually impossible to monitor them in real time, even when advanced video analytics are used for generating alerts. Image processing technology still hasn't matured enough, especially for countries such as India with high population density. The biggest disappointment with CCTV network is that in many cases, it is not even able to help ex post facto, as the camera was damaged or there was a connection problem with the fibre optic network or there was an obstruction in front of the camera or the resolution was too poor to be of any use etc. A good solution to this maintenance problem is a video management system which automatically creates tickets in case of any issue with the camera and shows the location of the faulty camera on GIS maps in the command centre.
The number of types of sensors have increased dramatically in the last few years. Commonly used sensor by cities, are sub-station monitoring sensors, gas leak sensors, fire alarms, water flow sensors (both drinking and flushing), parking sensors, street-light sensors etc. One of the biggest challenge with sensors is to keep the number of false or non-actionable alarms to a minimum, by correctly configuring/calibrating them. This takes a lot of time and effort. It is essential to separate warnings from critical alerts. Many sensor implementations fail to make any difference because of the sheer volume of low priority alerts on the dashboard, generating multiple alerts for the same issue and lack of a short SOP for dealing with each type of alert. All sensor inputs must map to only a few common screens (city GIS maps) on the command centre. 
In many cities there are completely non-personalized smart cards for various public transport systems (E.g. Delhi metro smart card). In most cities one card is used at multiple transport systems, making payments at various merchant locations, making online payments, loyalty programs etc. Non-personalized cards makes administrative tasks easy, but have a very limited account balance limit (only Rs. 10,000/- in India) and cannot be used for a number of other applications. Oyster cards in London or Octopus card in Hong Kong are great examples of personalized contactless smart cards for all residents of a city. Apart from payments, such personalized cards can also be used for access control for commercial and residential buildings, implementing fines & penalties etc. The long term goal for smart cards should be to have only one unified card for the entire city which is linked to as many applications as possible. Printing photograph, full name or any other personal detail on the smart card, makes the issuance process very difficult, costly & can lead to customer inconvenience. The technology changes in contactless smart card domain are very rapid (there are 8 categories of MiFare cards alone) and backward compatibility is not always guaranteed. There are multiple types of POS devices, turnstiles, access control devices etc. that need to be compatible with the smart card. It is a challenge to make sure that all systems & applications, using the smart card, are upgraded to the newer technology, after every 5-6 years.
It is not possible to cover implementation challenges & learning for all the different smart city domains in one blog post. Smart city solutions in education and healthcare domain have little or no integration with the rest of the solutions. Other smart city solutions such as utility billing, paid parking, smart traffic lights, fibre optic based metering, IOT applications, big data analytics etc. are tightly coupled with each other. Apart from creating these basic smart city solutions, an open-to-all free smart city platform needs to be developed. The platform should enable anyone to use the APIs and data exposed by the smart city platform, to develop their own applications, tools, analytics engines, research papers etc. In this way smart cities can crowd-source ideas, incubate start-ups and co-create application with a large world-wide developer community. A good example to emulate is Singapore’s open data policy[1] and one map[2] initiative.
Effective, timely and detailed citizen communication is very important for successful implementation of smart city projects. Traditional marketing medium such as billboards, print, television & radio are not sufficient. To get effective feedback from early adopters (NGOs, active citizens, 3rd party contractors etc.), two way communication medium such as discussion forums, email groups and social media, needs to be adopted. For any effective communication strategy, smart cities must have a fairly accurate (it can never be 100%) database of email-ids and mobile numbers mapped to each citizen. Smart cities cannot rely on citizens informing them when their email-id or mobile numbers change. A permanent call-center is required to continuously call or email citizens and proactively keep the database updated. Every time a communication message by any smart city application to an email-id or mobile number fails, they must be added to the list of faulty email-ids or mobile numbers that need to be corrected.
Smart city applications and tools stack on top of each other. Certain basic applications and data layers need to be developed first before the rest can be built. However the exact sequence, in which applications/solutions must be developed and implemented, should vary from city to city based on the needs of the specific city. For example there is no point in having a smart card, if you don’t have a ubiquitous public transport system(s) in the city. In cities where the population is less than 20k, smart city systems such as RFID tags parking systems, smart water meters etc. will not result in appropriate return on investment. The smart city solutions which solve the most pressing need/concern for the citizen of that city must be prioritized over others. The need can be security (especially for new green-field cities) or transport or governance (for brown-field cities). 
As mentioned earlier, cities flourish because of virtuous cycles of high demand & supply within and around the city. The city must provide jobs and all basic minimum resources, which will then attract others to migrate to the cities. Very often city planners neglect the aspect of job creation within the city and give over emphasis on creating amenities. Moreover they focus on malls, shopping complexes, hospitals, colleges etc. but neglect basic facilities such as last mile transport (auto, rickshaws etc.), schools, play-schools, crèche, laundry shops, household helps, local medical centres, groceries, electricians, plumbers, local wine shops etc. Many of these basic amenities require high subsidization at the initial stage. Investors in housing projects, who do not wish to live in the city, are a huge risk in creating city ecosystem. If the right city ecosystem is not created, it will end up creating ghost cities such as Kangbashi and Thames Town in China. New suburbs (such as Bandra Kurla Complex, Mumbai) or cities (such as Greater Noida) existing close to an old city are highly dependent on good and multiple connectivity to the old city. Independent green-field cities (such as Amravati) are highly dependent on governments to create new jobs and kick-start migration into the cities. Smart city solutions can only act as an enabler for achieving higher efficiencies, but they cannot be used to create city ecosystem. This is the reason why most of the smart city solutions work better for existing cities rather than new cities.
Once a smart city solution has been successfully deployed, monitored and stabilized, it needs to be handed over for operations to the respective departments, except the department for data correction which need to remain centralized across all smart city solutions. Some solutions such as waste management, smart electricity & water meters etc. come fully under the domain of a single department and cost/benefit allocation is very simple. However most other smart city solutions such as smart card, mobile app, website, GIS systems, RFID parking solution etc. cut across multiple departments. Special accounting mechanisms have to be developed to distribute revenue, manpower required, operational costs etc. of these solutions across departments and governments.
Even through currently the ROI (return on investment) on smart city projects do not meet expectations, I have no doubt that investments in smart city projects will only increase in foreseeable future. Many companies will come up with products which are specially customized for city use cases and not corporate use cases as most IT products are currently. The recent surge of small townships and private cities built by private developers in India, will lead to greater development of smart city applications, as decision making in a private company is always faster than any government agency. There are several other aspects of smart cities that I have not been able to cover in this blog, especially non-IT related areas. In this blog I have mostly tried to cover aspects of smart city which are different from traditional city planning. A lot of work needs to be done before the dream of 100 smart cities in India can be realized. I am eagerly looking forward for the day when I can enjoy most of the smart city solutions described above myself.

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Decoding the hurdles for Hindi in cyber-space



Hindi is the national language of India spoken by approximately 295 million people (2012). There are more than 1000 Hindi dailies having a circulation of over 80 million copies. Hindi film industry has the highest viewership in the world (since 2004). Number of Hindi speaking households with Internet connection has crossed 2 million (2012) and is growing exponentially. India has become the global IT hub and has seen a spectacular growth of new entrepreneurship ventures, tapping unmet potential in the market. In spite of all these factors, a corresponding growth has not happened for Hindi websites, neither in terms of viewership nor in terms of revenue. There are few fundamental factors that are limiting the spread of Hindi in cyber-space.

Internet is no longer a one-way communication medium. User feedback and interaction is paramount. This has been the biggest roadblock, as typing in Hindi script (Devanagari) is exceedingly difficult. The official Hindi computer keyboard ‘Inscript’ has not achieved popularity due to its steep learning curve and has almost gone out of production. Only ‘Inscript’ keyboard stickers are available for QWERTY keyboards. Moreover, phonetic-based solutions are not suitable for fast typing. The problem is so severe that almost all Hindi digital communication happens by typing Hindi in Roman using the normal QWERTY keyboard only. While it is less of a problem for texting, social media or video dominated websites, it is the biggest handicap for most other types of Hindi websites like commercial websites, organizational websites, informational websites and even literary websites.

A lot of web content is generated through non-professionals in the form of blogs, forums, personal websites etc. In spite of huge Hindi speaking population, there is a serious lack of Hindi content because Roman Hindi typing is not suitable for any lengthy or formal article. Middle-age population is typically the top contributor in generating such contents but Roman script for Hindi is totally illegible and even looked down upon by most of them. Moreover there exists a perception that Roman script is destroying the basic fabric of Hindi. Phonetic keyboard solutions have more acceptability and are currently the most widely used among non-professionals. Though learning curve for them is low, but so is their typing speed.

Other factors hampering Hindi content generation are the lack of basic online facilities like a good dictionary, spell-checker, thesaurus and fonts. Natural Language Translators (NLP) for English-Hindi translations are still at a very nascent stage and are nowhere close to NLPs for European languages. There are only a handful of Hindi typing tutors and even relatively better ones like ‘Aasaan’, suffer from under-testing and software bugs. Products and solutions by the government organization, ‘Centre for development of Advanced Computing’ (CDAC), for multilingual technologies, have been archaic to say the least. There is also the basic problem of some systems still using ASCII instead of Unicode, leading to strange symbols, instead of Hindi script, being rendered on the screen when visiting any Hindi website.

With every new field or technology, a certain unique terminology and words develop around it, for which there are no natural translations in other languages. It is wiser to adopt such words in other languages, especially if the educated population is generally multi-lingual and have been exposed to these words. However there exists a general reluctance to adopt English words into formal Hindi even though they are widely used. The Hindi substitutes generally tend to be difficult and obscure words. The result being that English literate generation and technology enthusiasts drift away from systems in their mother tongue. Many Hindi websites and typically government websites suffer from this problem, resulting in them, not being able to speak in the language of the audience. According to me, bridging this disconnect needs to be a given higher priority than maintaining the purity of the language.

People rarely make a full transition to Hindi computing, by changing the language of OS and all other applications to Hindi, because, the support ecosystem, which helps them get over the technology barrier, is more comfortable in English. Thus a basic knowledge of English is absolutely essential to operate a computer or PDA in India unlike in countries like Japan, Germany etc. Moreover, the domain names of all Hindi websites are in English only. This has led to a whole segment of English ignorant population being away from the reach of Hindi websites. Manish Dalal, vice-president (Asia-Pacific) at VeriSign Naming Services said, “The operating system, browser, domain name and the content, everything from start to finish has to be completely in the local language to really break the entry barrier.

Lack of standardization has been one of the key problems. Unlike English, Devanagari script has a very intricate design and has special peculiarities of subscript and superscript symbols. There are more than thousand fonts for each conjunct and vowel/consonant combination. Duplicate forms of characters were removed from the script only in 1953 by Lucknow Script Reforms. The Government finalized ‘standard Hindi typewriter keyboard’ only by 1960 and till then many propriety keyboards had become popular. The ‘Remmington keyboard format’ still continues to be widely used, even though the much better and standard ‘INSCRIPT’ keyboard has been released since 1986. Phonetic based systems are highly incompatible with each other and there is still no standardization for them. Conformity to ISCII coding for storage and IFSOC for font rendering is also not followed by some systems. 

The growth of the tablets and other touch based devices is very good news for Hindi websites. Touch based keyboards like Android ‘Gingerbread keyboard’, change symbols as per user input, making Hindi typing much easier and faster. The OS too is more user-friendly, bridging the technology gap. The government is already in the process of providing cheap tablets, ‘Aakash’, as part of one laptop per child initiative. ‘Aakash’ would come per-loaded with C-DAC software and will help in bringing Internet to a large Hindi-speaking population. Government is also planning for launching Domain names in Hindi (dot-Bharat).  Hence the major hurdles for Hindi in cyber-space might get broken sooner than later. Moreover, once the right ecosystem is formed, economics will find solutions to all other minor problems, with free enterprises rather than the government, leading the way.

Friday, August 3, 2012

Politicians....Organized Criminals ??? (part 3)

Preface 
This is the third and last post of the trilogy, where I have tried to explore the similarity between politics and organized crime in the country. This post goes into the depth of political rot in contemporary times and also explores the few silver linings in these dark clouds.

        With the end of Congress Hegemony in Indian Politics in 1989, it was now the era of coalition and vote bank politics. By this time, there was widespread public disinterest in politics. The middle and upper class were completely alienated from the electoral process. The elections were wide open, with extremely low winning margins and several close candidates for each seat. It essentially meant that to be 'first past the post' in any elections, you don't require support cutting across all communities, like in earlier times. Hence, instead of a 'unity in diversity' campaigns for the entire constituency, the complete electoral emphasis was now on specific targeted audiences, based on caste, religion, ethnicity, region etc. The old imperialist technique of 'Divide and Rule' was perfected by the modern Indian Politicians. These politics led the Indian society in the vicious cycle of mutual hate and self-destruction which continues unabated even today.


Protest Against Mandal Commission
        Ticket distribution on the basis of caste has been going on since the late 1950s.  However regressive caste politics reached new heights with the development of competitive reservation system, for vote bank purposes. Every caste/community started proving themselves backward and demanding reservations, added and abetted by opportunist political leaders. Instead of expanding the overall pie, all efforts went in securing a smaller separate slice for ever increasing sub-divisions. As expected it led to a development of creamy layer in every historically oppressed section of Indian society. The creamy layer kept reaping almost the entire benefit of reservations while the remainder remained untouched as they couldn't even cross the minimum qualifying threshold.


Ram Rath Yatra by L.K Adavani
        The Hindu fundamentalist groups had long been sidelined by secular charismatic leaders such as Gandhi and Nehru. But the continuous vote-bank minority appeasement policies led to dissatisfaction in the majority. On the highly emotional and religious demand of creation of 'Ram Janyabhoomi Temple', the Hindu fundamental groups revived themselves. It finally resulted in BJP forming the first stable non-Congress government in the country. As expected, acquisition of power in the center led to a more moderate and secular approach being adopted. India finally found the long required and very essential (right-winged) political alternative to Congress. However it came at a huge cost on the society. The demolition of Babri Masjid led to several religious riots. The Gujrat riots of 2002, was the second major government-supported riot in the country after the Anti-Sikh riots of 1984.  

Laloo Yadav
        Party sponsored criminals, during elections, had been a very common thing, right from the late 1960's. Later booth capturing, intimidation and sporadic violence during elections, became the norm of the day. But now hard-core criminals started coming into politics. With their muscle and money power, they were able to gather enough critical votes to be the 'first past the post' and hence they were welcomed with open hands in all parties. The thin line between organized crime and politics was blurring very fast. One of the worst sufferers was the state of Bihar. For more than two decades, the state was very similar to a mafia-ruled place. There were even parallel caste armies and proxy civil wars in the state. Things were not much better in the rest of the country either. In eastern India and especially in tribal areas, organized exploitation by the state and police machinery increasingly drove people to violence and Naxalism.


Political Choice
        All the mainstream parties more or less lost their separate identities. Party ideology became a poor jokePeople frequently swapped sides with perfect ease between rival parties. Horse trading and power struggle became far too blatant and unapologetic. In a supposedly spiritual country of ours, public morality and even basic ethics were thrown out of the window. Another interesting pattern is the change in the personal relationships between ardent political rivals. It had progressed from once ideological differences to personal differences, to now pure shadow-boxing. On a personal level, everyone in politics helped each other. They even bailed out their opponents at critical times, ensuring that rarely anyone ever got convicted in courts. For all effective purposes, the complete political class was above the law. Although outwardly, the politics appeared to be more dynamic, with no party ever being sure of returning back to power; actually, the system became very stagnant, with no real change being brought about, through any elections.

P V Narsimha Rao
        By the early 90's, Indian economic was in tatters. There was a minority government at the center headed by Narasimha Rao, who had mastered the act of staying in power, by hook or by crook. There was not even a single party then, that had economic liberalization in its agenda. Yet the circumstances forced India to liberalize its economy. Great path-breaking reforms that would have never passed had there been proper discussion or debate on it, in the parliament, were readily passed as  everyone was just busy trying to avoid a second election and get the maximum out of the costly election that they had somehow won.


People's Committee Against Police Atrocities
        Apart from having a very positive impact on the economy, the economic reforms completely changed the scale and scope of corruption, black money and politics in India. The pace of economic reforms and liberalization slackened as soon as the Indian economy stabilized. Certain key sectors were never reformed, and the bottleneck in those critical areas now yielded much higher returns for the bureaucracy and politicians, from the increasingly rich business class. The country moved from 'ineffective socialism' to 'effective crony capitalism'. This crony capitalism led to very harmful effects on the environment and much greater exploitation of the extremely poor (especially tribal) class. As a reaction to it, counter-productive communism and Naxalism spread explosively, to cover approximately one-third the total districts of the country.

        As the scale of corruption scandals grew, so did the task of covering it. Rajiv Gandhi made a mess of covering up the Bofors scam and hence paid dearly. Learning from that, the politicians soon realized the need to bring every investigative agency, especially CBI, under their water-tight control. Very soon they were masters of the game and even the creation of CVC by Supreme Court through the famous 'Vineet Narain case' helped little. CBI soon became one of the most effective tool, in the hands of the government to blackmail its coalition partners and others in the opposition.

Election Commissioner, T N Seshan
        After the demise of Indira Gandhi, the non-political, independent institutions of the country slowly strengthened themselves. In 70's and 80's a number of elections were rigged. Money and muscle power had become predominant in Indian elections, slowly turning India into a banana republic.  One man, Election Commissioner, T.N. Seshan changed it all. He utilized the power and autonomy of the Election Commission, under the constitution, to free the office from all political pressures. His legacy ensured that elections became freer and fairer over the years.


Vinod Rai, The Controler and Auditor
General (CAG) of Ind
        After the Emergency, no government could ever dare to put binding restrictions on the media. With the emergence of TV and the subsequent popularity of the media, it became a very powerful fourth pillar of democracy. The media has never been completely free from political pressures. However the fact that its competitive popularity in most cases, rests on taking an anti-political and anti-establishment stance, has led it towards constant scrutiny and criticism of the politics. Similarly, as the executive kept losing popular support and people power, the judiciary filled in the gap through increasing judicial activism. A lot of important decision were taken and monitored in courts rather than in executive bodies. Historically, the CAG's audit reports were routinely thrown into the dustbins by the politicians. Lately, under Mr. Vinod Rai, the CAG has successfully managed to name and shame politicians. Thus India has, over time, developed and nurtured all the necessary elements of a fully working democracy.

        The advent of modern technology, the internet, social media, the spread of education, the growth of urban middle class and increase in prosperity due to economic reforms has strengthened the civil society of India. IT revolution, growing demand for e-governance and greater public scrutiny through acts like RTI has dented the political power slightly. Even though disturbing similarities do exist between current politicians and organized criminals, the experience of other countries, who have gone through a similar path, suggest a far rosier future for India. India is too diverse a country to make any sweeping statement and hence it remains a matter of speculation whether Indian politics has reached its nadir or not.

Saturday, June 2, 2012

Politicians....Organized Criminals ??? (part 2)

Indira Gandhi
        In the previous post, I went over the initial era or the golden era of Indian politics, from Jawaharlal Nehru to Lal Bahadur Shastri. Till this time the rot was only at the lower levels, while the Gandhian aura still persisted in the higher echelons of power. Politicians were still highly respected and revered in the society and great debates used to happen in the parliament. All this was about to changed very rapidly.
       
        Indira Gandhi had been the president of the Congress in 1959, but that was not something liked by Nehru. He never gave her a cabinet berth and he was frequently embarrassed by her ruthlessness and disregard for parliamentary traditions. Only due to growing nepotism in the party, Lal Bahadur Shastri gave her an unimportant portfolio in his ministry. However defeating Morarji Desai in the party election, she became the next Prime Minister of India. 
     
        Indra Gandhi stood for almost the exact opposite of everything that her father stood for. She nearly destroyed everything that her father had so painstakingly built over so many years. Indira Gandhi had huge personal ambitions and absolutely no respect for any institution or person. Her primary goal was to keep herself in absolute power, whatever may be the cost, and to ensure that the power remained within her family perpetually. In her own words to the journalist Bruce Chatwin - ‘you have no idea how tiring it is to be a goddess.’
      
V. V. Giri
        Nepotism and personality cult were now openly encouraged. Indira Gandhi first gave a Bharat Ratna to herself and then to V.V. Giri whose most important qualification was perhaps just his loyalty to Indira Gandhi. The Congress party now became a family business. Internal party democracy became a joke. Only loyal and subservient people were given important posts and even senior independence struggle veterans were sidelined and shrugged off. It created a huge furor in the Congress party, the result being that the party was split twice. But Indra Gandhi prevailed over all her opponents within the congress party and outside, majorly due to championing the socialistic cause, her hugely popular "Garibi Hatao" slogan and the Nehru-Gandhi family legacy.
  
        Instead of the corruption being bottom up and behind closed doors, it became top down and the norm of the day. Honesty and morality were thrown out of the window completely. Corruption spread to every government department and was institutionalized, with fixed percentages for every officer in the department, from top to bottom. With the official patronage given to corruption and an absolute guarantee of safety ensured to its perpetrators, corruption spread like cancer in the entire system.
   
        Indira Gandhi took the Nehru's socialism to newer heights with her nationalization drive, the abolition of privy purses etc. However her motives were completely different. Nehru genuinely believed that democratic socialism was for the upliftment of the poor and the welfare of the nation. Indira Gandhi had no such noble aims. She had rarely ever invoked the word 'socialism' before 1967. Socialism was only her way of cashing on the popularity of her father, engendering populist support for herself, creating more centralization with a concentration of power in her hands and generating more money through rampant corruption in the license-permit-raj. In fact under Indira Gandhi, the country started moving from democratic socialistic policies to communistic policies of Stalin and Mao. 
       
        Indira Gandhi believed in staying in power by any and every means. She resorted to open rigging of elections, booth-capturing and violence, using public machinery for party purpose, spending much more than the allowed limit etc. She even encouraged anti-national elements just to counter the rise of new regional parties. She was also notorious for imposing president's rule on flimsy grounds in a lot of non-Congress states. Constitutional posts like those of the president, the Governor etc became her puppets. There were interferences even in the appointment and promotion of Judges. The bureaucracy was obviously kept under an iron fist and good and honest people were promptly sidelined.
   
Total Revolution

Jayaprakash Narayanan
        While the Gandhian morality was dying in the Congress, a new ray of light appeared in the 70's in the form of Jayaprakash Narayanan. JP had abandoned 'rajniti' for 'lokniti', but in 1974, he came back to the national politics to fight against corruption and misgovernance. He gave the call for "Total Revolution" to redeem the unfulfilled promises of the freedom movement. He openly equated the Congress government with the British government. His movement soon spread from Bihar to the rest of India. His movement was so intense that to keep herself in power Indira Gandhi had to declare an Emergency.
    
Emergency (26 June 1975 – 21 March 1977) and Janta Party
        Oppression brings out the best in a country and the Emergency achieved just that. The vehement opposition of emergency in the country proved how deeply Indians care about their liberty and how deep were the roots of democracy in the country. The growing apathy to politics in the Indian society was replaced by the most popular public movement since Independence.

Morarji Desai
(India's First Non-Congress PM)
        Jayprakash Narayanan called for a united front against the Congress and hence Janta Party was formed. However the design was flawed from the beginning. The Janta Party was an amalgam of various parties who had just one thing in common - opposition to Congress and Indira Gandhi. They had no common ideology, agenda or even an acceptable PM candidate. Moreover JP was not that much concerned about the character and past record of people joining the Janta Party. However, to be fair to him, he was almost on his deathbed at that time and had no time to prune or mentor the party like Gandhi did for the Congress Party. 

        The Janta Party government proved to be no less corrupt that the Congress Party. It began to wither as significant ideological and political divisions emerged and broke up in less than three years. With the death of JP, the grand endeavor to create a credible alternative to Congress came to an end. Indira Gandhi came back to power but she was never as much in control as in her early years as the Prime Minister. More importantly, the country lost one of its best chance to reform the Indian Politics even after such great public mobilization and turmoil.

Dynastic Politics
Sanjay Gandhi
          Indira Gandhi made no bones about the fact that she wanted Sanjay Gandhi to succeed her. After his death, Indira began grooming her other son, Rajiv Gandhi, for the top job. This Dynastic tendency, though started by Indira Gandhi, was not just limited to the first family or the Congress(I), but it soon spread to most regional political parties. By this time almost all political parties had become like family businesses. Ideology was secondary and getting to power was the primary purpose. Most of them had tasted power in the State and had become more of less like Congress itself.
     
        Although the middle class constituted a very small percentage of the Indian population, they played a very central role in the independence movement. The Congress party itself started as a middle-class party and later it expanded to the lower class. However when it came to winning elections, the middle class had no significant at all and hence it kept getting alienated with time, from the political consciousness. After the death of JP movement, the disconnect between the politicians and the middle class became almost absolute. Voting percentages in the rural India increased but in towns/cities, it came down heavily. A large percentage of the middle class didn't even bother to enroll themselves in the voter lists.
   
Anti-Sikh riots 1984
        The Hindu-Muslim riots in 1946-47 had the open tacit support of the British Government. After that, initially, the Indian Government always tried it best to prevent or contain all riots. Later on, in many cases, due to appeasement policy, the Government went soft on riots. However the murder of Indira Gandhi by a Sikh led to state-sponsored riots for the first time in post-independence history. With this Indian politics touched a new low.
        
Rajiv Gandhi
        Curtsey his mother's death, Rajiv Gandhi came to power with a thumping majority (404/506 seats but only 49.01% votes!!). Since he was an outsider in politics, some people had unrealistic hopes that he might clean up the system. However that requires exceptional moral fiber and guts which he clearly lacked. He tried to introduce some reforms but quickly retraced his steps and went back to tried and tested vote bank politics. Moreover he lacked the basic political knowledge to cover his tracks and thus one after the other corruptions scandals kept coming out of the closets. His inexperience destroyed the Congress's absolute monopoly in Indian politics, forever.
      
        With the loss in 1989 elections, (and murder of Rajiv Gandhi shortly afterward) the second era of Indian Politics came to an end and the era of coalition politics had begun. Things are now about to get much more criminalized, murky and complicated. However against this backdrop of dirty politics, Indian society and many institutions would progress by leaps and bounds. I will continue with the third era of Indian politics in the next blog.
(to be continued...)

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Politicians...Organized Criminals ???


Preface 
The one constant feedback about this blog is that its posts are too long. Unfortunately the very purpose of this blog is to express my opinions on complicated issues, where brevity is a luxury I can't afford. However this particular post had become just too long and so I have decided to split it into three posts, one for each distinct era of Indian modern politics.

        There was a time when great leaders like Subash Chandra Bose were affectionately called "Netaji", but now the word has a definite negative connotation attached to it. Politicians are the favorite punching bags all over the world, but there is something more sinister happening in India. Politicians are not just ridiculed in jokes, cartoons and movies but they are openly equated with criminals in the media, social networking sites, discussions, debates and small talks in every nook and corner of this country. This tendency of slamming the whole political class has unprecedented hidden public support behind it. Recently there have even been huge apolitical agitations where such sentiments were openly expressed. Unlike others who see this as a very dangerous, destabilizing trend, I view the public expression of it, as an element of change and transformation for the  better. 

        This degradation of Indian politics did not happen overnight and nor has the situation been like this from the beginning. In fact Indian politics was perhaps the only thing that was right at the time of independence; everything else was in tatters. How ironic is it, that today Indian politicians are the biggest bottleneck to our growth, prosperity and creation of a just society. So how did it happen? What went wrong and when? What were the critical mistakes and lost opportunities? Why couldn't our society arrest the falling moral standards in politics? Also, are things currently improving or worsening in India with time? Let us try to delve into history and try to find an answer to these questions.

Mahatama Gandhi
        At the time of independence, India had some of the most honest, honorable and respected politicians. The Congress party was run by the sweat of dedicated volunteers, who did not work for money. The same was almost true (though not to the same degree) of rival political entities like BR Ambedkar, MS Golwarkar or E.V. Ramaswami. The differences were mostly ideological and not personal.

        Perhaps the seed was born in partition itself. Throughout the 1940s the Muslim league and other communal parties like RSS and Hindu Mahasabha kept gaining ground. The violence accompanied with the partition further strengthened these religious fanatics. The result being that, the Congress party was at its weakest and the popularity of Mahatama Gandhi at its lowest, at the time of the partition. The Indian state was very vulnerable during the early years, battling on a number of fronts. The first government under Nehru did the most remarkable job in strengthening the state. Defying all logic, reasoning and every contemporary prediction, the Indian state did not collapse. However in this firefighting, some of the very critical  trends and fault-lines, that appeared very early on, got ignored, leading to the present mess.

Mahatama Gandhi, Subash Chandra Bose and 
Vallabhbhai Patel in a Congress meeting. 
        Congress was never a political party before independence. It was a congregation of all great patriotic people who wanted to rid the country of the barbaric colonial rule. However there was very little unity among the top leadership on many important issues, like economic policies, governance structures, Kashmir etc. Congress had both left-winged and right-winged, liberals as well as conservatives, within its ranks. Many of the most dedicated volunteers of the Congress thought that with the achievement of independence their objective was realized and so they slowly sidelined themselves, especially now that Congress was associated with power. As expected wrong people started getting associated with Congress and a proper pruning was never done. Gandhi's early death was another big factor. His Ashrams were the factories where future leaders were born. He was not just the symbol of honesty and austerity but had the unique gift of spreading these to other people. It was entirely due to his efforts that the Congress had an army of selfless volunteers and mid-level leadership, that were its backbone. Good people were already scarce due to 1942 Quit India Movement and the communal riots (Honest courageous people are the first ones who get killed during any riots). Gandhi's death ensured that there was no replacement coming.

        Right after independence, Gandhi suggested that Congress should be disbanded. It was a very sensible and far-sighted suggestion. However not many people paid heed to the suggestion at that time, especially since there were rioting, instability and more pressing concerns all around the country. However over the years it has been proved without a doubt that not disbanding the Congress was one of the biggest mistake made, and the country suffers because of it even today.

Jawaharlal Nehru
        The Congress was now in power and instead of discussion, it was the time of implementation of ideas. The government had to choose a particular path on economic policy, centralization, foreign policy and everything else. It was purely Nehru's ideas that got preference over everything else. Gandhi's economic ideas got sidelined stating that they were impractical. His vision of a thousand village republics was replaced by a very centralized power structure at the center and the states. Nehru's left-winged policies, his love of centralization and nationalization, became the official policy of the Congress and the Government. Anyone who did not agree was slowly sidelined. The differences between Nehru and Patel were all too apparent. Unfortunately Sardar Patel died even before the first election. After the death of Sardar Patel, there was none in the Congress who matched the stature of Nehru or had a reasonable chance of success in opposing him.

        A division of old Congress into two equal sized parties capable of forming a strong government and opposition respectively, would have been the ideal solution but that never materialized. Of course a lot of people broke away from the Congress to make separate parties but they were neither united nor any match to Nehru. Neither did any such division had the sanction of someone like Gandhi.

J B Kripalani
(Kisan Mazdoor Praja Party)

        All those opposing Congress were either those who wanted similar things like Congress, in greater degree, like the Socialist Party, Kisan Mazdoor Praja Party and Communist Party or fanatic communal elements wanting to convert India into "Hindu Pakistan" or parties catering to only certain sections of the society. Naturally Nehru prevailed over all of them with a thumping majority. But what made his victory even more astounding was the tag of "Congress" and the goodwill due to Gandhi's association. For the next three elections the same trend continued. Without any credible opposition and the absolute guarantee of being in power, irrespective of personal performance, degraded the Congress Party greatly.

Swatantra Party 
C Rajagopalachari
(Swatantra Party)
        Swatantra party was the only party which should have been the alternate to the Congress party. It was a right winged party opposed to the Nehruvian socialist outlook of the Congress Party. It advocated free enterprise and free trade and opposed the licence-permit raj. Despite initial success and the party becoming the main opposition party in the mid-60s, this grand endeavor failed miserably. The basic reason was again the fact that the grassroot strength of the Congress was immense and it was almost impossible to get over that, especially in a country which had idolized Gandhi and Congress for more than thirty years. 

        Letter exchanges between Jayaprakash Narayanan and Nehru right after the second general elections are a very interesting read. Narayan suggested that Nehru should function as a “national rather than a party leader”; that, even while he ran the government, he should “encourage the growth of an Opposition”, so as to “soundly lay the foundations of parliamentary democracy” in India. Nehru's reply is very interesting -
Jayaprakash Narayanan
(Socialist Party)
“So far as I understand parliamentary democracy, it means that every opportunity should be given for an opposition to function, to express its views by word or writing, to contest elections in fair conditions, and to try to convert the people to its views. The moment an opposition is given some kind of a protected position, it becomes rather a bogus opposition and cannot even carry weight with the people. I am not aware of any pattern of parliamentary democracy in which it has ever been suggested that the opposition should be encouraged, except in the ways I have mentioned above."
Unfortunately Nehru couldn't understand that JP was asking Nehru to become another Gandhi and not just an effective Prime Minister. He wanted Nehru to leave behind a working two-party parliamentary democracy.

Purushottam Das Tandon
        One of the major reasons of the moral decline of the Congress Party was the emergence of personality cult and hero worship in the Congress party. Nehru was almost completely responsible for it. Unlike in pre-independence era, when there was true internal democracy in the Congress, Nehru made sure that people opposing him, like Dr. Rajendra Prasad, Rajagopalachari, Purushottam Das Tandon and other were slowly sidelined. It became a sort of an unwritten norm for the leader of the government to also be the party president or at the least, have a pliable candidate in the post. 


Krishna Menon
        The socialistic policies of Nehru created far too much centralization and concentration of power. The license-permit-raj became the breeding ground of corruption. Running any political entity requires a lot of money. Before independence the party had ample resources from voluntary donations, but later the finances started drying off and election campaign just got costlier and costlier. Jawaharlal Nehru, though honest personally, started turning a blind eye to the corruption in the party. The most brazen example was the staunch defense of Krishna Menon by Nehru.

Vinobha Bave
(spiritual successor of
Mahatma Gandhi)
        One of the reasons why Congress was able to maintain such high moral status prior to independence was its participation and leadership in social work and cultural reforms. However over the years the social work became less and less important and the complete Congress machinery was dedicated for just campaigning and winning elections. The major social works done during this period were led by the Gandhians like Vinobha Bave (Bhoodan movement) and were completely apolitical. Social reforms meet a lot of resistance from the society initially, whereas the benefits are long term. Unfortunately it goes against short term goal of gathering votes and the Congress continued making that mistake. The goal of winning elections at any cost led to a development of appeasement policy and vote bank politics by the Congress.

        Instead of fighting the caste system, party tickets were given on the basis of caste considerations. Behind the smokes screen of reservation, the more crucial programs of untouchability  removal and efforts to annihilate caste were abandoned completely. No effort was made to reform the Muslim community, to liberalize the Muslim civil code or to introduce the Uniform Civil Code. Ironically these appeasement policies had the most harmful effect on these respective communities themselves. This growing timidness of Congress cost the nation dearly. 

K. Kamraj
        In 1963 K. Kamraj came up with a plan to revamp the Congress from the 'lure for power' that had in-gripped it. He proposed that all senior Congress leaders should resign from their posts and devote all their energy to the re-vitalization of the Congress. Six Union Ministers and six State Chief Ministers resigned from their posts. However it was too little too late. Moreover with the death of Nehru shortly afterward, the plan was quickly abandoned.


Lal Bahadur Shastri
        Nehru was succeeded by Lal Bahadur Shastri, arguably the best Prime Minister India ever had. Shastriji was no match for the intellectual prowess of Nehru. He was neither a great/original thinker nor an excellent orator or writer. However he was a true Gandhian, possessing great strength of character and will-power. He was instrumental in ushering both the green revolution as well as the white revolution in the country besides winning the war of 1965. When the country faced a food shortage, he gave the call to all Indians to observe weekly fast and convert all available land for agricultural activities. Lakhs of Indians followed suit and in my own family, our garden was converted into a potato field. Today we can't even imagine any politician having the moral authority to give such a call.

        However Shastriji died just too early to be able to change much in the system. With him ended the first era of Indian politics. After him, things went downhill pretty rapidly. The seeds for the same had already been sown in the first era and the stage was all set for Indira Gandhi, to destroy the Gandhian moral legacy in India politics completely and forever. I will continue with the second era of Indian politics in the next post. 
(to be continued....)

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